This paper finds that shocks to net financial inflows, world oil prices, the U.S. growth rate, and the lagged real exchange rate explain most of the fluctuations in Mexico’s annual growth since 1979. The paper also estimates how the effects of these external constraints have changed since...

This paper analyzes the causes of the massive peso devaluation of December 1994 and the ensuing economic crisis in Mexico. The paper argues that, while earlier devaluation might have been helpful, Mexico's economic growth strategy in the early 1990s was fraught with internal inconsistencies that...