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Overview -- Methods for describing oscillations, fluctuations, and cycles in univariate series -- Constructing reference cycles with multivariate information -- Model-based rules for describing recurrent events -- Measuring recurrent event features in univariate data -- Measuring synchronization...
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The global financial crisis highlighted the impact on macroeconomic outcomes of recurrent events like business and financial cycles, highs and lows in volatility, and crashes and recessions. At the most basic level, such recurrent events can be summarized using binary indicators showing if the...
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We summarize the history of macroeconometric system modelling as having produced four generations of models. Over time the principles underlying the model designs have been extended to incorporate eight major features. Because models often evolve in response to external events we are led to ask...
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