In this paper we study post-penalized estimators which apply ordinary, unpenalized linear regression to the model selected by first-step penalized estimators, typically LASSO. It is well known that LASSO can estimate the regression function at nearly the oracle rate, and is thus hard to improve...

In this paper we study post-penalized estimators which apply ordinary, unpenalized linear regression to the model selected by first-step penalized estimators, typically LASSO. It is well known that LASSO can estimate the regression function at nearly the oracle rate, and is thus hard to improve...

In the first part of the paper, we consider estimation and inference on policy relevant treatment effects, such as local average and local quantile treatment effects, in a data-rich environment where there may be many more control variables available than there are observations. In addition to...

We develop uniformly valid confidence regions for regression coefficients in a high-dimensional sparse least absolute deviation/median regression model. The setting is one where the number of regressors p could be large in comparison to the sample size n, but only s << n of them are needed to accurately describe the regression function. Our new methods are based on the instrumental median regression estimator that assembles the optimal estimating equation from the output of the post l1-penalized median regression and post l1-penalized least squares in an auxiliary equation. The estimating equation is immunized against non-regular estimation of nuisance part of the median regression function, in the sense of Neyman. We establish that in a homoscedastic regression model, the instrumental median regression estimator of a single regression coefficient is asymptotically root-n normal uniformly with respect to the underlying sparse model. The resulting confidence regions are valid uniformly with respect to the underlying model. We illustrate the value of uniformity with Monte-Carlo experiments which demonstrate that standard/naive post-selection inference breaks down over large parts of the parameter space, and the proposed method does not. We then generalize our method to the case where p1 > n regression coefficients...</<>

In this paper, we consider estimation of general modern moment-condition problems in econometrics in a data-rich environment where there may be many more control variables available than there are observations. The framework we consider allows for a continuum of target parameters and for...

We develop a multi-risk SIR model (MR-SIR) where infection, hospitalization and fatality rates vary between groups-in particular between the "young", "the middleaged" and the "old". Our MR-SIR model enables a tractable quantitative analysis of optimal policy similar to those already developed in...

Quantile regression(QR) fits a linear model for conditional quantiles, just as ordinary least squares (OLS) fits a linear model for conditional means. An attractive feature of OLS is that it gives the minimum mean square error linear approximation to the conditional expectation function even...