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relation between their current wages and their past wages, adjusted for inflation. We call this the post-crisis Phillips Curve …In this paper we test a new empirical relationship between wage and inflation. We introduce the concept of a cumulative …. The shape of the post-crisis Phillips Curve expresses the theoretical assumption that the inflation rate stays below its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162969
This chapter examines the concept of inflation persistence in macroeconomic theory. It begins by defining persistence … persistence from the literature on imperfect information models, learning models, and so-called “trend inflation models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025671
firm profits in the pass-through from wages to prices and the contribution of external factors. Overall, the available …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012212851
long run Phillips curve recorded -0.75 in Sweden and -0.23 in the United States. While the average inflation rate in the … United States was very close to its targeted level, the average inflation rate in Sweden was 0.6 per- centage points below … its targeted level over the sample period. The deviation of inflation rate from its targeted level in Sweden resulted in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179358
Is inflation (still) a global phenomenon? We study the international co-movement of inflation based on a dynamic factor … explains approximately 58% of the variation in headline inflation across all countries and over 72% in OECD economies. The … explanatory power of global inflation is equally high in a shorter sample spanning the time since 2000. Core inflation is also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551069
, inflation and unemployment, we detect a wrong sign in the response of inflation to contractionary monetary policy shocks … 1999-2019, when the Federal Funds Rate and the Euro-Dollar exchange rate are added to the VAR model inflation shows … significant unemployment inflation trade-off emerges. These conclusions are confirmed by using industrial production instead of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168711
The present paper uses survey data on expected consumer price developments to analyse the role of inflation … expectations in the inflation process. The survey measures of price expectations are derived from the European Commission … estimates of the New Keynesian inflation model presented here underscore the importance of inflation expectations for the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001782903
consistent with the official monetary policy. Second, we seek to shed light on the inflation process of these countries. To this … end, we carry out an estimation of an open economy Philips curve (PC). Our main finding is that inflation rates were not … monetary arrangements for price stability. The analysis of the conditional inflation variance obtained from GARCH estimation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014202611
The remarkable stability of low domestic inflation in many countries requires explanation. In this paper, a number of … continuing low inflation, but also its coexistence with rapid growth and low real interest rates. Unfortunately, the analysis … also leads to the conclusion that rising inflation, unwinding financial imbalances, or both, could easily follow the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218878
price model a 'weak' central bank response to inflation generates sunspot fluctuations, the consequences of pooling … of inflation persistence had not been investigated. Using Monte Carlo simulations from a purely forward-looking model …, this paper shows that indeterminacy can introduce a sizable persistence in the process of inflation. On the reduced form …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014219263