This paper exploits the Lucas’ (1973) signal extraction model to study the effect of uncertainty in the output-inflation trade-off on inflation, using a monetary model with asymmetric central bank preferences over inflation and output. We show that the implication of the uncertainty is...

This paper assesses the impact of uncertainty about the true state of the economy on monetary policy in South Africa since the adoption of inflation targeting. The paper also analyses the impact of uncertainty about the conditions in financial markets on the interest rate setting behavior that...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate how the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) sets monetary policy rate. Design/methodology/approach – Given the controversial debate on whether central banks should target asset prices for economic stability, the authors analyse whether the...

A simple empirical nonlinear framework is used to analyse monetary policy between 1983 and 2007 in South Africa, focusing on the policy of in?ation targeting introduced in Feb 2000, more precisely when the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) announced that an inflation zone targeting regime of...

This paper is the ?rst one to analyze the ability of linear and nonlinear monetary policy rule specifications as well as nonparametric and semiparametric models in forecasting the nominal interest rate setting that describes the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) policy decisions. We augment the...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate how the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) sets monetary policy rate. Design/methodology/approach – Given the controversial debate on whether central banks should target asset prices for economic stability, the authors analyse whether the...