We evaluate the performance of inflation forecasts based on the open-economy Phillips curve by exploiting the spatial pattern of international propagation of inflation. We model these spatial linkages using global inflation and either domestic slack or oil price fluctuations, motivated by a...

We introduce a flexible, time-varying network model to trace the propagation of interest rate surprises across different maturities. First, we develop a novel econometric framework that allows for unknown, potentially asymmetric contemporaneous spillovers across panel units, and establish the...

The paper explores the empirical macro- and microeconomic aspects of debt deflation. After performing VAR and Granger causality analysis on the quarterly 1980-2011 filtered macroeconomic data for the USA, we find evidence for the endogenous money supply theory. Highlighting the empirical...

We introduce a flexible, time-varying network model to trace the propagation of interest rate surprises across different maturities. First, we develop a novel econometric framework that allows for unknown, potentially asymmetric contemporaneous spillovers across panel units and establish the...

We introduce a flexible, time-varying network model to trace the propagation of interest rate surprises across different maturities. First, we develop a novel econometric framework that allows for unknown, potentially asymmetric contemporaneous spillovers across panel units, and establish the...

We evaluate the performance of inflation forecasts based on the open-economy Phillips curve by exploiting the spatial pattern of international propagation of inflation. We model these spatial linkages using global inflation and either domestic slack or oil price fluctuations, motivated by a...

Can monetary policy be used to promote financial stability? We answer this question by estimating the impact of a monetary policy shock on private-sector leverage and the likelihood of a financial crisis. Impulse responses obtained from a panel VAR model of 18 advanced countries suggest that the...

Though the hypothesis that exchange rate regimes fully predetermine monetary policy in the face of external shocks hardly finds any advocates on theoretical ground it has crept in the most of empirical research. This study adopts a more discerning empirical approach that looks at monetary policy...

This paper investigates the impact of the local and the US monetary policy environments on stock returns at the different locations on the return distributions. Using data for stock returns and interest rates of 30 countries, the quantile regression technique is employed to estimate the...

From the policy mix theory to the related empirical works, quantifying the degree of coordination of monetary and fiscal policies seems to be missing. In this paper, we propose an index (ICPM) which measures the coherent nature of the policy mix rather than it restrictive or expansive character....