Economic projections by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) were highly inaccurate in the years during and after the Great Recession. Using a model of collective prediction that weighs the ``wisdom of crowds'' against shared biases, we analyze GDP forecast errors in a panel dataset of FOMC...

The notion of new economy was coined in the United States when there was increasing evidence that, as a result of the introduction of new technologies, the traditional behavior of macroeconomic variables might have changed. The expansion of the 1990s differed from its predecessors in three...

Zu den wesentlichen Veränderungen in den Umgebungsbedingungen des Finanzgewerbes in den letzten beiden Jahrzehnten zählen die Deregulierung und vor allem die erheblichen Fortschritte in der Kommunikationstechnologie, speziell der Übermittlung, Aufbereitung und Interpretation von...

We examine gender differences in career progression and promotions in central banking, a stereotypical male-dominated occupation, using confidential anonymized personnel data from the European Central Bank (ECB) during the period 2003-2017. A wage gap emerges between men and women within a few...

We examine gender differences in career progression and promotions in central banking, a stereotypical male-dominated occupation, using confidential anonymized personnel data from the European Central Bank (ECB) during the period 2003-2017. A wage gap emerges between men and women within a few...