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Dynamic economic models make predictions about impulse responses that characterize how macroeconomic processes respond to alternative shocks over different horizons. From the perspective of asset pricing, impulse responses quantify the exposure of macroeconomic processes and other cash flows to...
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nonlinear external habits can rationalize the evidence, and it implies that the competitive volatility of consumption is … volatility (a targeting of risk premia) rather than on filling the gap between consumption and its flexible-price counterpart …
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break-even inflation rates when market volatility is high. Our model’s ability to be updated weekly makes it suitable for … real-time monetary policy analysis. -- Affine term structure models ; inflation expectations ; stochastic volatility …
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Asset prices are a valuable source of information about financial market participants.expectations about key macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the market’s rational assessment of future price and policy...
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the central bank should prioritize removing consumption volatility (a targeting of risk premia) over filling the gap …
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Apart from a priori assumptions on instantaneous or long run effects of structural shocks, sign restrictions have become a prominent means for structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) analysis. Moreover, second order heterogeneity of systems of times series can be fruitfully exploited for...
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