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An important question for central banks is how they should report the uncertainty of their forecasts. This paper … discusses a way in which a central bank could report the uncertainty of its forecasts in a world in which it used a single …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364738
An important question for central banks is how they should report the uncertainty of their forecasts. This paper … discusses a way in which a central bank could report the uncertainty of its forecasts in a world in which it used a single …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010388883
An important question for central banks is how they should report the uncertainty of their forecasts. This paper … discusses a way in which a central bank could report the uncertainty of its forecasts in a world in which it used a single …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056343
In this paper, we examine the link between political transparency of a common central bank (CCB) and decentralized supply-side fiscal policies in a monetary union. We find that the opacity of a conservative CCB has a restrictive effect on national fiscal policies since each government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765687
This paper provides evidence that, by restoring market functioning, central banks' pandemic-related asset purchase programmes lowered payoff complementarities among investors in corporate bond funds, reinforcing asset managers' willingness to hold riskier assets to increase funds' returns....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350329
Based on its outward-oriented development strategy, respectable growth, increased integration into world trade and financial markets, and imperfect though vibrant and wide-based democracy, Turkey is often cited as a development model for other countries in the region and elsewhere. Countering...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010513258
This paper reviews some of the more critical policy dilemmas facing the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its pursuit of inflation stabilization and balanced growth objectives. The challenge in meeting these objectives further increased in the mid-2000s with the advent of large capital flows into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010336928
Most theoretical central bank models use short horizons and focus on a single tradeoff. However, in reality central banks play complex, long horizon games and face more than one tradeoff. We account for these issues in a simple infinite horizon game with a novel tradeoff: higher rates deter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009753000
This paper undertakes an empirical inquiry concerning the determinants of long-term interest rates on US Treasury securities. It applies the bounds testing procedure to cointegration and error correction models within the autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) framework, using monthly data and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011713327
, uncertainty, and liquidity preference to the dynamics of government bond yields for countries with monetary sovereignty. Keynes … mainly through the short-term interest rate. Investors' psychology, herding behavior in financial markets, and uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012317613