This paper investigates the changing behavior of inflation expectations in response to the macroeconomic and policy … present evidence on the behavioral shifts in the inflation expectations associated with evolving macroeconomic and policy … performance. We use a unique survey with the feature of including matched policy rate and fixed-horizon inflation expectations at …

This paper investigates the changing behavior of inflation expectations in response to the macroeconomic and policy … present evidence on the behavioral shifts in the inflation expectations associated with evolving macroeconomic and policy … performance. We use a unique survey with the feature of including matched policy rate and fixed-horizon inflation expectations at …

contribute to anchoring of expectations about nominal variables; its effects on disagreement about real variables are moderate. …

stabilize economic growth and in ation expectations through the signaling channel. In doing so, we assess survey …-based expectations data for up to 44 economies from 2002 to 2017 and analyze the impact of the adoption of a negative interest rate … policy on expectations made by professionals based on a difference-in-differences approach. Our main findings are as follows …

stabilize economic growth and in ation expectations through the signaling channel. In doing so, we assess survey …-based expectations data for up to 44 economies from 2002 to 2017 and analyze the impact of the adoption of a negative interest rate … policy on expectations made by professionals based on a difference-in-differences approach. Our main findings are as follows …

economic expectations and forecasts, but also valuable insights on key topical issues and on economic risks and uncertainties … unemployment rate - the track record of the ECB SPF in forecasting has been broadly comparable to that of the Eurosystem. In …) underlying SPF expectations and an analysis and assessment of measures of macroeconomic uncertainty. Technical assumptions are …

The proposition that inflation expectations can be extracted as inflation predictions from the government bond yield …

inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations. In a model with an occasionally binding zero-lower-bound constraint … of this model using unique individual-level inflation expectations data across nine countries that allow for a direct … identification of these biases. Both inflation and deflationary biases are present (and sizable) in inflation expectations of these …