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Interest rates, convenience yields, and inflation expectations : drivers of US dollar exchange rates
Bernoth, Kerstin; Herwartz, Helmut; Trienens, Lasse - 2024
Using a data-driven approach to identify structural vector autoregressive models, we examine key factors influencing the US dollar exchange rate across eight advanced economies from 1980 to 2022. We find that shocks to inflation expectations, which are closely tied to unfunded government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015123453
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The impacts of global risk and US monetary policy on US Dollar exchange rates and excess currency returns
Bernoth, Kerstin; Herwartz, Helmut; Trienens, Lasse - 2023
We examine the causal relationship between US monetary policy shocks, exchange rates and currency excess returns for a sample of eight advanced countries over the period 1980M1 to 2022M11. We find that the dynamics of the US dollar exchange rate is the main driver of currency excess returns. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014305726
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Did quantitative easing affect interest rates outside the US? : new evidence based on interest rate differentials
Belke, Ansgar; Gros, Daniel; Osowski, Thomas - 2016
This paper explores the effects of non-standard monetary policies on international yield relationships. Based on a descriptive analysis of international long-term yields, we find evidence that long-term rates have followed a global downward trend prior to as well as during the financial crisis....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011414128
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Unconventional monetary policy under appreciation pressure : the role of financial frictions
Aregger, Nicole; Leutert, Jessica - 2017 - This draft: September 2017
We build a two-country model with imperfect financial intermediation. Banks face limits to arbitrage which lead to positive excess returns in the investment markets and a risk premium in the international credit market. Gross capital flows affect the exchange rate since banks are balance sheet...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011742713
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ECB monetary policy and commodity prices
Aliyev, Shahriyar; Kočenda, Evžen - 2020
We analyze the impact of the ECB monetary policies on global aggregate and sectoral commodity prices using monthly data from January 2001 till August 2019. We employ a SVAR model and assess separately period of conventional monetary policy before global financial crisis (GFC) and unconventional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012200289
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US monetary policy and the stability of currency pegs
Roevekamp, Ingmar - 2019
I study the pricing of American Depositary Receipts around FOMC meetings to identify the impact of US monetary policy on managed exchange rates. ADR investors assess the domestic central bank’s reluctance to maintain a currency peg regime if the costs of mimicking policy rate increases in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265914
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Non-Stationary Interest Rate Differentials and the Role of Monetary Policy
Matros, Philipp - 2011
bivariate cointegration between domestic and foreign interest rates. We explain non-stationarity of the interest differential … stochastic trend into the system. Trivariate cointegration between the interest rates and the exchange rate accounts for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124253
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Exchange rate pass-through in Russia
Ponomarev, Jurij; Trunin, Pavel V.; Uljukaev, Aleksej V. - 2014
The article provides estimates of short-run and medium-run exchange rate pass-through into domestic prices in Russia during the period of 2000–2012 using vector error correction model. Exchange rate pass-through asymmetry estimates, its assessments on different sub-periods and exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398366
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Non-stationary interest rate differentials and the role of monetary policy
Matros, Philipp; Weber, Enzo - 2011
bivariate cointegration between domestic and foreign interest rates. We explain non-stationarity of the interest differential … stochastic trend into the system. Trivariate cointegration between the interest rates and the exchange rate accounts for the … ; Monetary Policy Rules ; Cointegration ; Vector-Error Correction Model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009511974
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Monetary policy and exchange rates : a balanced two-country cointegrated VAR model approach
Heinlein, Reinhold; Krolzig, Hans-Martin - 2013
decouple the two-country macro dynamics of country averages and country differences such that the cointegration analysis can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228354