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Economists often say that certain types of assets, e.g., Treasury bonds, are very 'liquid'. Do they mean that these assets are likely to serve as media of exchange or collateral (a definition of liquidity often employed in monetary theory), or that they can be easily sold in a secondary market,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655877
We show that uncertainty of monetary policy (MPU) commands a risk premium in the US Treasury bond market. Using the news based MPU measure in Baker, Bloom, and Davis (2016) to capture monetary policy uncertainty, we find that MPU forecasts significantly and positively future monthly Treasury...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968326
I document that the high market returns and good performance of the CAPM associated with FOMC meetings are concentrated on meetings with unanticipated cuts to the Fed funds target rate. Moreover, stocks that perform poorly around meetings with surprise cuts subsequently outperform the market....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972379
The relation between the dollar's value and stock prices is controversial. Our analysis shows that returns were 2.6 times higher when the dollar was trending up versus down. Our key insight is that dollar trends should be evaluated in light of monetary policy. While stocks returns have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035432
This paper examines irreversible investment decisions when the interest rate is stochastic and constrained by a zero lower bound using the shadow-rate model of Black (1995). In contrast to the commonly found negative relationship between investment and uncertainty, it is shown that the presence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903412
The steady application of Quantitative Easing (QE) has been followed by big and non-monotonic effects on international asset prices and international capital flows. These are difficult to explain in conventional models, but arise naturally in a model with collateral. This paper develops a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906607
This paper provides a theoretical model to explain how securitization affects the overall liquidity and welfare of an economy, an under-discussed area in the literature. By applying an overlapping generations model with random-relocation shocks, the effects of securitization are analyzed in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892378
We estimate the effects of the Federal Reserve’s Secondary Market Corporate Credit Facilities (SMCCF) on corporate bond market liquidity, yield, bond valuations and firm-level outcomes. Using comprehensive data on secondary market transactions in a diff-in-diff analysis, we find the SMCCF...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220064
This study examines the relationship between bond fund flows, stock market returns and financial policies in developed and developing economies. The findings suggest a bidirectional (negative) relationship between bond flows and market returns in the presence of fiscal and monetary policy for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492430
This paper investigates the international spillovers of government debt and the associated risk of inflation within a monetary union when countries have different pension systems. I use a stochastic two-country two-period overlapping-generations model, where one country has PAYG pensions and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135358