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This study examines whether central banks can combat inflation that is caused by rising energy prices. By using a high-frequency event study and a Structural Vector Autoregression, we find evidence that the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) are capable of doing so by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014230113
This paper studies the role of global factors in causing common movements in consumer price inflation, with particular focus on the food, housing and energy sub-indices. It uses a comprehensive dataset of 223 countries and territories collected from national and international sources. Global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637390
We examine the relative ability of simple inflation targeting (IT) and price level targeting (PLT) monetary policy rules to minimize both inflation variability and business cycle fluctuations in Canada for shocks that have important consequences for global commodity prices. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009546871
Global inflation has risen sharply from its lows in mid-2020, on rebounding global demand, supply bottlenecks, and soaring food and energy prices, especially since the Russian Federation's invasion of Ukraine. Markets expect inflation to peak in mid-2022 and then decline, but to remain elevated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013256317
This paper surveys recent advances in empirical studies of the monetary transmission mechanism (MTM), with special attention to Central and Eastern Europe.In particular, while laying out the functioning of the separate channels in the MTM, it explores possible interrelations between different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148511
This paper assesses the impact of crude oil price movements on two macro variables - the gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate and consumer price index inflation rate - in the developed economies of the United States and Japan, and an emerging economy, the People's Republic of China (PRC)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532108
We estimate the oil price pass-through into consumer prices both in the US and in the euro area. In particular, we disentangle the specific effect that an oil price change might have on each disaggregate price, from the effect on all prices that an oil price change might have since it affects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710173
The article studies the macroeconomic impact of oil price changes in 17 highly heterogeneous countries classified in six groups: advanced, emerging, oil producer, non-oil producers, with energy price controls and without energy price controls. The results show that despite analyzed countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011868228
This paper evaluates whether macroeconomic uncertainty changes the impact of oil shocks on the oil price. Using a structural threshold VAR model, we endogenously identify different regimes of uncertainty in which we estimate the effects of oil demand and supply shocks. The results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621702
There has been a systematic increase in the volatility of the real price of crude oil since 1986, followed by a decline in the volatility of oil production since the early 1990s. We explore reasons for this evolution. We show that a likely explanation of this empirical fact is that both the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009382056