Introduction -- The Model: Description of the Model; A Macroeconomic Model for a Monetary Union; Characterization of the Shocks.-The Model for a Small Monetary Union: Shock Multipliers; Graphical Analysis -- The Model for a Large Monetary Union: Shock Multipliers; Graphical Analysis --...

This paper examines the regime changes in the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM), by applying the duration model approach to quarterly data of eight currencies participating in the ERM, covering the complete European Monetary System (EMS) history. We first make use of the nonparametric...

This paper analyses the functioning of the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM). To that end, we apply duration models to estimate an eclectic specification that enables us to explicitly incorporated political and institutional factors into the explanation of European exchange rate policies....