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Recent empirical studies have found evidence of unstable long run money demand functions if recent data are used. If the link between money balances and the macroeconomy is fragile, the rationale of monetary aggregates in the ECB strategy has to be doubted. In contrast we present a "stable''...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518878
Money growth in the euro area has exceeded its target since 2001. Likewise, recent empirical studies did not find evidence in favour of a stable long run money demand function. The equation appears to be increasingly unstable if more recent data are used. If the link between money balances and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011384239
Money growth in the euro area has exceeded its target since 2001. Likewise, recent empirical studies did not find evidence in favour of a stable long run money demand function. The equation appears to be increasingly unstable if more recent data are used. If the link between money balances and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012724213
The aim of the paper is to reassess the issue of money demand stability by estimating a portfolio demand approach for broad money M3 in the euro area covering the sample 1999 to 2013. The question is relevant, since in view of the massive shocks observed since the start of the financial crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987468
This paper examines the forecasting performance of a broad monetary aggregate (M3) in predicting euro area inflation. Excess liquidity is measured as the difference between the actual money stock and its fundamental value, the latter determined by a money demand function. The out-of sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137100
This paper examines the forecasting performance of a broad monetary aggregate (M3) in predicting euro area inflation. Excess liquidity is measured as the difference between the actual money stock and its fundamental value, the latter determined by a money demand function. The out-of sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009267841
This paper examines the stability of money demand and the forecasting performance of a broad monetary aggregate (M3) in predicting euro area inflation. Excess liquidity is measured as the difference between the actual money stock and its fundamental value, the latter determined by a money demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374304
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009785453
This paper assesses the empirical merits of PcGets and Autometrics -- two recent algorithms for computer-automated model selection -- using them to improve upon Kamin and Ericsson's (1993) model of Argentine broad money demand. The selected model is an economically sensible and statistically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012720206
The development of empirical foundations to the conduct of monetary policy in Tunisia is the central concern of this paper. Finding stable money demand functions for M2 and for M4, it concludes that monetary aggregates are an appropriate intermediate target of monetary policy in Tunisia and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014050802