We study how fluctuations in money growth correlate with fluctuations in real and nominal output growth and inflation. We pick cycles from each time series that last 2 to 8 (business cycles) and 8 to 40 (longer-term cycles) years, using band-pass filters. We employ a data set from 1880 to 2001...

In this article, William G. Dewald, the retiring Research director at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, focuses on the longer-term monetary relationships in historical data. He uses charts of 10-year average growth rates in the M2 monetary aggregate, nominal GDP, real GDP, and inflation to...