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The necessity of improving the forecasts accuracy grew in the context of ac- tual economic crisis, but few researchers … of the variable to predict. After evaluating the accuracy of the new forecasts, we found out that all the proposed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010506046
We compute a stochastic household forecast for the Netherlands by the random share method. Time series of shares of persons in nine household positions, broken down by sex and five-year age group for the years 1996-2010 are modelled by means of the Hyndman-Booth-Yasmeen product-ratio variant of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354141
In this paper the performance of different information criteria for simultaneous model class and lag order selection is evaluated using simulation studies. We focus on the ability of the criteria to distinguish linear and nonlinear models. In the simulation studies, we consider three different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010503893
This study uses Monte Carlo analysis to investigate the performances of five different meta-analysis (MA) estimators: the Fixed Effects (FE) estimator, the Weighted Least Squares (WLS) estimator, the Random Effects (RE) estimator, the Precision Effect Test (PET) estimator, and the Precision...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478499
Gravity type models are widely used in international economics. In these models the inclusion of time-fi0xed regressors like geographical or cultural distance, language and institutional (dummy) variables is often of vital importance e.g. to analyse the impact of trade costs on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011524111
In this paper the performance of information criteria and a test against SETAR nonlinearity for outlier contaminated time series are investigated. Additive outliers can seriously influence the properties of the underlying time series and hence of linearity tests, resulting in spurious test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011488709
In studying the asymptotic and finite sample properties of quasi-maximum likelihood (QML) estimators for the spatial linear regression models, much attention has been paid to the spatial lag dependence (SLD) model; little has been given to its companion, the spatial error dependence (SED) model....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011297624
Outlying observations in time series influence parameter estimation and testing procedures, leading to biased estimates and spurious test decisions. Further inference based on these results will be misleading. In this paper the effects of outliers on the performance of ratio-based tests for a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011581507
Item response theory is one of the modern test theories with applications in educational and psychological testing. Recent developments made it possible to characterize some desired properties in terms of a collection of manifest ones, so that hypothesis tests on these traits can, in principle,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380175
Since the introduction of bootstrap DEA there is a growing literature on applications which use this method, mainly for hypothesis testing. It is therefore important to establish the consistency and evaluate the performance of bootstrap DEA. The few Monte Carlo experiments in the literature...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583702