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Life insurers, pension funds, health care providers and social security institutions face increasing expenses due to continuing improvements of mortality rates. The actuarial and demographic literature has introduced a myriad of (deterministic and stochastic) models to forecast mortality rates...
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Most mortality models proposed in recent literature rely on the standard ARIMA-framework (in particular: a random walk with drift) to project mortality rates. As a result the projections are highly sensitive to the calibration period. We apply a modelling strategy for the time-dependent...
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In this paper we present a detailed outline of the posterior distributions for the LL model, as described by Antonio et al. (2015). Moreover, we illustrate the convergence of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo ([MCMC]) updating scheme used by Antonio et al. (2015).The paper "Bayesian Poisson...
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