This paper compares multivariate and univariate GARCH models to forecast portfolio value-at-risk (VaR). We provide a comprehensive look at the problem by considering realistic models and diversified portfolios containing a large number of assets, using both simulated and real data. Moreover, we...

We devise a novel approach to combine predictions of high dimensional conditional covariance matrices using economic criteria based on portfolio selection. The combination scheme takes into account not only the portfolio objective function but also the portfolio characteristics in order to...