Two theoretical literatures, one using Bayesian Nash equilibrium, and the other using noisy rational expectations equilibrium, both provide a foundation for understanding how private information is impounded into asset prices, yet some of their predictions are conflicting. Here, we compare for...

Games with imperfect information often feature multiple equilibria, which depend on beliefs off the equilibrium path. Standard selection criteria such as passive beliefs, symmetric beliefs or wary beliefs rest on ad hoc restrictions on beliefs. We propose a new selection criterion that imposes...

We consider a class of equilibrium refinements for finite games in strategic form. The refinements in this family are indexed from least to most restrictive. Proper equilibrium is obtained as a special case within the class; all other concepts are stronger than trembling-hand perfection and...