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In this paper I test two models of strategic debt behavior. The general idea is that if a government anticipates the … possibility of defeat in the next election it will try to use the debt strategically in order to influence the policy of its … successor. Previous empirical studies have either rejected the strategic explanation of debt or have not been able to isolate …
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This paper estimates the causal effect of fiscal rules on political budget cycles in a sample of 67 developing countries over the period 1985-2007. We exploit the geographical pattern in the adoption of fiscal rules to isolate an exogenous source of variation in the adoption of national fiscal...
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