The problem of prediction is revisited with a view towards going beyond the typical nonparametric setting and reaching a fully model-free environment for predictive inference, i.e., point predictors and predictive intervals. A basic principle of model-free prediction is laid out based on the...

This article considers estimation of regression function <InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">$$f$$</EquationSource> </InlineEquation> in the fixed design model <InlineEquation ID="IEq2"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">$$Y(x_i)=f(x_i)+ \epsilon (x_i), i=1,\ldots ,n$$</EquationSource> </InlineEquation>, by use of the Gasser and Müller kernel estimator. The point set <InlineEquation ID="IEq3"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">$$\{ x_i\}_{i=1}^{n}\subset [0,1]$$</EquationSource> </InlineEquation> constitutes the sampling design points, and <InlineEquation ID="IEq4"> <EquationSource...</equationsource></inlineequation></equationsource></inlineequation></equationsource></inlineequation></equationsource></inlineequation>