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This article introduces and investigates the properties of a new bootstrap method for time-series data, the kernel block bootstrap. The bootstrap method, although akin to, offers an improvement over the tapered block bootstrap of Paparoditis and Politis (2001), admitting kernels with unbounded...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011878210
We introduce a nonparametric block bootstrap approach for Quasi-Likelihood Ratio type tests of nonlinear restrictions. Our method applies to extremum estimators, such as quasi-maximum likelihood and generalized method of moments estimators. Unlike existing parametric bootstrap procedures for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014178027
We study the robustness of block resampling procedures for time series. We first derive a set of formulas to … applications. This renders inference based on standard resampling methods useless already in simple estimation and testing settings …. To solve this problem, we introduce a robust fast resampling scheme that is applicable to a wide class of time series …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971115
Estimation results obtained by parametric models may be seriously misleading when the model is misspecified or poorly approximates the true model. This study proposes a test that jointly tests the specifications of multiple response probabilities in unordered multinomial choice models. The test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410669
We provide stylized facts on the evolving shape dynamics of the US personal income distribution from 1962 to 2000. Based on adaptive kernel density estimation, we propose an adaptive bootstrap test for multimodality. Our results indicate that multimodality has been a predominant feature of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061415
This paper is concerned with tests of restrictions on the sample path of conditional quantile processes. These tests are tantamount to assessments of lack of fit for models of conditional quantile functions or more generally as tests of how certain covariates affect the distribution of an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012731947
A test for serial independence is proposed which is related to the BDS test but focuses on tail event probabilities rather than probabilities near the center of the distribution. The motivation behind this approach is to obtain a test more suitable for detecting structure in the tails, such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014111453
We propose consistent nonparametric tests of conditional independence for time series data. Our methods are motivated from the difference between joint conditional cumulative distribution function (CDF) and the product of conditional CDFs. The difference is transformed into a proper conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324332
In this paper we first investigate the validity of a general Value at Risk approach, which is widely used for risk management in banking and insurance companies. We discuss and widely reject the conventional assumptions, e.g. independent identically distributed normal returns, and as consequence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159079
A non-stationary regression model for financial returns is examined theoretically in this paper. Volatility dynamics are modelled both exogenously and deterministic, captured by a nonparametric curve estimation on equidistant centered returns. We prove consistency and asymptotic normality of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487233