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Motivated by the problem of setting prediction intervals in time seriesanalysis, this investigation is concerned with recovering a regression functionm(X_t) on the basis of noisy observations taking at random design pointsX_t.It is presumed that the corresponding observations are corrupted by...
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the structural shock of interest. Then, to trace out the dynamic effects of the structural shock, we compare the evolution …
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single perceived shock that closely aligns with observed inflation surprises. The time-varying impulse responses indicate a … significant decline in the perceived persistence of this shock, suggesting that inflation expectations have become more "anchored …
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