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Realized divergence gauges the distinct realized moments associated with time-varying uncertainty and is tradeable with divergence swaps engineered from delta-hedged option portfolios. Consistently with established notions of symmetry in arbitrage-free option markets, implied divergence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507861
In this paper, we present a continuous time Capital Asset Pricing Model where the volatilities of the market index and the stock are both stochastic. Using a singular perturbation technique, we provide approximations for the prices of European options on both the stock and the index. We derive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055054
We utilize Bayesian model averaging to estimate a stochastic discount factor (SDF) for single-stock options. A Bayesian model averaging SDF outperforms reduced-form benchmark models in-sample and out-of-sample in pricing option return anomalies and portfolios. We document that the SDF is dense...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015204018
By exploiting the flexibility of the Wishart process, we propose an application of this framework to the pricing of Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) volatility index (VIX) options. Our methodology is analytically tractable and yet flexible enough to efficiently price CBOE VIX options. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989064
We present a new approach to identifying asset price bubbles based on options data. Given their forward-looking nature, options are ideal instruments with which to investigate market expectations about the future evolution of asset prices, which are key to understanding price bubbles. By...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826066
The empirical analysis of new warrant issues in the context of a structural model of the firm typically assumes the absence of debt and a perfect equity pricing model. We examine here an approach relaxing these two assumptions. The proposed approach develops simple analytical expressions for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082129
This paper proposes a linear option pricing model by imposing common market pricing on decentralized risk exposure estimates across option contracts underlying the same security. The model embeds historical moment estimators to anchor the breakeven contribution of each risk source. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238841
In this article, the Universal Approximation Theorem of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) is applied to the SABR stochastic volatility model in order to construct highly efficient representations. Initially, the SABR approximation of Hagan et al. [2002] is considered, then a more accurate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907596
We present a method for extracting the market risk premium from stock and option data and examine its validity. We extend Duan and Zhang's (2014) model to estimate the projected risk aversion coefficient using more information for the discrepancy of the physical from the risk-neutral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855658
The main goal of this paper is to better understand the behavior of credit spreads in the past and the potential risk of unexpected future credit spread changes. One important consideration to note regarding credit spreads is the fact that bond spreads contain a liquidity premium, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105185