This paper examines the theoretically obtained prices with values based on temperature data in the Isle of Man and the UK. We have also seen that the simulated temperature trajectories do not appear to include entire seasons where the temperature remains cooler than normal. Anecdotally we have...

The illiquidity of long-maturity options has made it difficult to study the term structures of option spanning portfolios. This paper proposes a new estimation and inference framework for these option-implied term structures that addresses long-maturity illiquidity. By building a sieve estimator...

The illiquidity of long-maturity options has made it difficult to study the term structures of option spanning portfolios. This paper proposes a new estimation and inference framework for these option-implied term structures that addresses long-maturity illiquidity. By building a sieve estimator...

Entropy pricing applies notions of information theory to derive the theoretical value of options. This paper employs the maximum entropy formulation of option pricing, given risk-neutral moment constraints computed directly from the observed prices. First, higher-order moments are used to...

In this paper we solve the discrete time mean-variance hedging problem when asset returns follow a multivariate autoregressive hidden Markov model. Time dependent volatility and serial dependence are well established properties of financial time series and our model covers both. To illustrate...

This paper describes and applies a nonparametric model for pricing multivariate contingent claims. Multivariate contingent claims are contracts whose payoffs depend on the future prices of more than one underlying variable. The pricing however of these kinds of contracts represents a challenge....

This report provides an overview of the utility of single stock and custom basket options in fund management. It is shown that managers of active equity funds can limit possible negative return contributions of their over - and underweight positions via single stock options and thus help to...

The Black-Scholes framework implies a constant volatility across term and strike, and a lognormal distribution for underlying asset prices. However, it is known that empirical data violates this assumption. In this report we describe, motivate and apply a model-independent,...

Least-squares methods enable us to price Bermudan-style options by Monte Carlo simulation. They are based on estimating the option continuation value by least squares. We show that the Bermudan price is maximized when this continuation value is estimated near the exercise boundary, which is...

We conduct an empirical evaluation of a static super-replicating hedge of barrier options. The hedge is robust to uncertainty about the future skew. Using almost seven years of current data on the DAX, we evaluate the performance of the hedge and compare it with those of both a dynamic and a...