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We use a series of different approaches to extract information about crash risk from option prices for the Euro …-Dollar exchange rate, with each step sharpening the focus on extracting more specific measures of crash risk around dates of ECB … without precisely describing what exactly they entail does not move asset markets or actually increases crash risk. Also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940034
interest rate futures for the conduct of monetary policy in Italy, at times when significant regime shifts have occurred. Risk … seems encouraging; a significant degree of skewness (so-called risk-reversal), large changes over time and fatness of the … mounting inflationary risk induced by a large devaluation. We subsequently examine a recent sequence of monetary easings, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014058544
We use a series of different approaches to extract information about crash risk from option prices for the Euro …-Dollar exchange rate, with each step sharpening the focus on extracting more specific measures of crash risk around dates of ECB … without precisely describing what exactly they entail does not move asset markets or actually increases crash risk. Also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906936
We use a series of different approaches to extract information about crash risk from option prices for the Euro …-Dollar exchange rate, with each step sharpening the focus on extracting more specific measures of crash risk around dates of ECB … without precisely describing what exactly they entail does not instantly move asset markets or actually increases crash risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888949
This is a survey of the basic theoretical foundations of intertemporal asset pricing theory. The broader theory is first reviewed in a simple discrete-time setting, emphasizing the key role of state prices. The existence of state prices is equivalent to the absence of arbitrage. State prices,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023860
2009 and Montserret 2009. The behavioural, institutional, risk-reward and regulatory drivers of these cases are reviewed as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097744
Replacing equity return (as in the equity risk premium) with returns on an arbitrary contingent claim, we obtain a new … class of economic risk premiums to impose upon candidate models. These risk premiums reflect the distance between the … physical and risk-neutral moments for asset returns, can be estimated in a model-free fashion from the option cross section …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844094
This essay explores the link between the exponential probability density function and the present value function coupled with moment theory to derive important non probabilistic parameters from the Present value function in which are then used to derive a measure of the volatility of interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095900
This paper uses the method developed by Bollerslev and Todorov (2011b) to estimate risk premia for extreme events for … method to German data yields very similar results to the ones shown for the US data. The risk premia for rare events … constitute a considerable part of the total equity and variance risk premia for both markets. When using the results to build an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249730
We propose a new predictor of real economic activity (REA), namely the representative investor's implied relative risk … increases as risk averse investors enter the market, leading to a decrease in market risk premium thus predicting a REA …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010499597