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The rapid growth of exchange traded products (ETPs) has raised concerns about their implications for financial stability. A case in point is the abrupt market crash of short volatility strategies on February 5th 2018. In this paper, we describe this “Volmageddon” event and illustrate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585893
We show that net demand in the S&P 500 option market is fundamental to explain empirical puzzles related to the pricing kernel. When public investors (non-market makers) are exposed to variance risk by net-selling out-of-the-money (OTM) options, the pricing kernel is U-shaped, expected option...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255178
Cross-market deviations in equity put option prices and credit default swap spreads are temporal and revert to their usual level shortly after they occur, on average within about one week. The process of reversion involves predictable and economically significant changes also in the equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857332
This paper develops a new method to calculate hedged returns on model-free “equity VIX” option portfolios. Our returns are highly correlated with realized variance minus implied variance. Compared to CBOE’s VIX formula, our formulas are more accurate for both simulated and actual prices,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404237
We investigate the pricing of risk-neutral skewness in the stock options market by creating skewness assets comprised of two option positions (one long and one short) and a position in the underlying stock. The assets are created such that exposure to changes in the price of the underlying stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111682
Option-implied betas are a promising alternative to historical beta estimators, because they are inherently forward-looking and can incorporate new information immediately and fully. Recently, different implied beta estimators have been developed in previous literature, but very little is known...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010230656
We document empirically that the returns from shorting out-of-the-money S&P 500 put options are concentrated in the few days preceding their expiration. Back-month options generate almost no returns, and front-month options do so only towards the end of the option cycle. The concentration of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934780
We investigate the pricing of risk-neutral skewness in the stock options market by creating skewness assets comprised of two option positions (one long and one short) and a position in the underlying stock. The assets are created such that exposure to changes in the underlying stock price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094978
This paper improves continuous-time variance swap approximation formulas to derive exact returns on benchmark VIX option portfolios. The new methodology preserves the variance swap interpretation that decomposes returns into realized variance and option implied-variance.We apply this new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249009
This research adapts the Black-Scholes option pricing model that is widely used in practice to a world where investors only form sufficiently rational expectations (expectations that deviate from perfection without creating arbitrage opportunities). Within the no-arbitrage interval of market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249481