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We show that the compensation for rare events accounts for a large fraction of the average equity and variance risk premia. Exploiting the special structure of the jump tails and the pricing thereof we identify and estimate a new Investor Fears index. The index suggests both large and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133667
We develop a new efficient and analytically tractable method for estimation of parametric volatility models that is robust to price-level jumps and generally has good finite sample properties. The method entails first integrating intra-day data into the Realized Laplace Transform of volatility,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137409
We develop a nonparametric estimator of the stochastic volatility density of a discretely-observed Ito semimartingale in the setting of an increasing time span and finer mesh of the observation grid. There are two steps. The first is aggregating the high-frequency increments into the realized...
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We show that the compensation for rare events accounts for a large fraction of the equity and variance risk premia in the S&P 500 market index. The probability of rare events vary significantly over time, increasing in periods of high market volatility, but the risk premium for tail events...
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