This paper explores whether the common belief that the currently observed fertility drop is a threat (or, conversely, the invoked fertility recovery is beneficial) for PAYG pensions is really always validated by the basic accounting of the PAYG pension budget. It is shown, through a simple...

This paper explores whether the common belief that the currently observed fertility drop is a threat (or, conversely, the invoked fertility recovery is beneficial) for PAYG pensions is really always validated by the basic accounting of the PAYG pension budget. It is shown, through a simple...

We analyse the dynamics of an overlapping generations economy with unfunded pay-as-you-go public pensions and myopic expectations by comparing exogenous and endogenous fertility contexts. It is shown that large PAYG pensions may cause endogenous fluctuations in both cases. However, ceteris...