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The causal effects of central bank communication on economic expectations and their underlying mechanisms are tested in controlled laboratory experiments. We find that central bank communication has a stabilizing effect on individual and aggregate outcomes, and the size of the effect varies with...
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We use controlled laboratory experiments to test the causal effects of central bank communication on economic expectations and to distinguish the underlying mechanisms of those effects. In an experiment where subjects learn to forecast economic variables, we find that central bank communication...
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We measure soft information contained in the U.S. Federal Reserve Chairs' congressional testimonies and analyze its effect on financial markets. Our measures of Fed Chair's emotions expressed via his/her words, voice and face are created using machine learning. Increases in the Chair's text-,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292810
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We measure soft information contained in the congressional testimonies of U.S. Federal Reserve Chairs and analyze its effect on financial markets. Our measures of Fed Chairs' emotions expressed in words, voice and facial expressions are created using machine learning. Increases in the Chair's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013189228