In this paper, we derive constrained optimal investment strategies for long-term savers who are interested in investing their funds in stocks, but are afraid of potentially losing, for example, their retirement income. We call this probability hedging as it is determined by the probability of...

This paper develops a two-step semiparametric methodology for portfolio weight selection for characteristics- based factor-tilt and factor-timing investment strategies. We build upon the expected utility maximization framework of Brandt (1999) and Aït-sahalia and Brandt (2001). We assume that...