This paper studies the real mutual fund performance accounting for the presences of lucky funds. We quantify the impact of luck with an innovative measure built on False Discovery Rate (FDR). These FDR measures compute the number and the proportion of fund with truly positive and negative...

We develop a model where overconfident investors overestimate their own signal quality but are skeptical of others'. Those investors who are initially uninformed believe that the early informed have learned little, leading the former investors to provide excess liquidity, which, in turn, causes...