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We formulate a stylized model that admits volatility ambiguity to the Lucas framework. The model specifies an economically motivated ambiguity penalty function that makes volatility ambiguity quantifiable with χ2-statistics, and allows for analytical solutions. The addition of volatility...
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We formulate a tractable continuous-time rational expectations model in which the agent is ambiguity averse and would like to robustify asset return specification. Ambiguity affects the portfolio rule and asset pricing both individually and collectively with risk. Independently existing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931950
We formulate a decision model that accommodates correlation ambiguity between the insurer’s surplus and stock return processes and study its implications for the insurer’s asset allocation rule. The ambiguity-averse insurer invests more conservatively in the stock compared to an otherwise...
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In this paper we propose the GHADA risk management model that is based on the generalized hyperbolic (GH) distribution and on a nonparametric adaptive methodology. Compared to the normal distribution, the GH distribution possesses semi-heavy tails and represents the financial risk factors more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003035074
Risk management technology applied to high dimensional portfolios needs simple and fast methods for calculation of Value-at-Risk (VaR). The multivariate normal framework provides a simple off-the-shelf methodology but lacks the heavy tailed distributional properties that are observed in data. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966208
This paper examines how households should optimally allocate their portfolio choices between risky stocks and risk-free bonds over their lifetime. Traditional lifecycle models in previous work suggest that the allocation toward stocks should start high (near 100%) early in life and decline over...
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