This paper documents that when a southern California home gets designated to a wildfire risk zone, its price drops by 11% relative to homes just outside the designation boundary. Whereas the risk designation is discontinuous, the underlying risk is continuous — suggesting the price effect is...

By employing leverage to gain more exposure to stocks when young, individuals can achieve better diversification across time. Using stock data going back to 1871, we show that early leverage combined with reduced equity exposure when older can reduce lifetime portfolio risk. For example, an...

The paper assesses the most recent performance, persistence and riskiness of contrarian portfolios. Evidence from the major world and European market of France shows that such portfolios appear profitable on average, but their performance is not persistent from one holding period to the next;...

In a stock market dominated by passive investors, an interesting question arises as to how the equilibrium level of market efficiency will be maintained. This short article argues that the critical agents in this regard must be the companies that issue the shares, not active investment managers

As stress testing becomes more and more widespread as a risk measurement tool of choice, new questions are formulated about its applications to portfolio management. One of the most important ones for fund managers is: ‘How do we analyze results of stress tests for benchmarked portfolios?' We...

We combine self-collected historical data from 1867 to 1907 with CRSP data from 1926 to 2012, to examine the risk and return over the past 140 years of one of the most popular mechanical trading strategies — momentum. We find that momentum has earned abnormally high risk-adjusted returns — a...

After posting good performance and impressive business growth for over two decades, quantitative equity investment managers have recently produced weak returns. We develop a measure of risk and show how changes in risk provide a common framework to explain past under-performance, as well as...

This paper examines whether sell-side security analysts follow momentum or create momentum by themselves for recommending stocks. We employ an indirect method of testing the role of analysts by assigning projected recommendation scores for the neglected stocks to mitigate the so-called...

This paper shed light to the existence of momentum and reversal patterns in the 18 industry indexes of DJ Euro Stoxx. The analysis is focus on European market and test a presence structural break in year 2000 (financial services and markets act). We made an analysis of five portfolios over eight...

As financial instruments grow in complexity more and more information is neglected by risk optimization practices. This brings down a curtain of opacity on the origination of risk, that has been one of the main culprits in the 2007-2008 global financial crisis. We discuss how the loss of...