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We provide a model that can explain empirically relevant variations in confidence and risk taking by combining horizon-dependent risk aversion (“anxiety”) and selective memory in a Bayesian intrapersonal game. In the time series, overconfidence is more prevalent when actual risk levels are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904438
This paper proposes a model of how biased individuals update beliefs in the presence of informational ambiguity. Individuals are ambiguous about the actual signal-generating process and interpret signals according to the model that can best support their biases. This paper provides a complete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234442
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003425366
minority bank (MB) policies. Our theory apparatus synthesizes Vasicek's bond pricing model, and KMV Moody loan portfolio model … increased capital, and brokered deposits, militate against altruistic motives. This implies that for a given amount of altruism …, MBs are better served by tactical portfolio allocation in an expanded investment opportunity set. We apply the theory to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974983
We analyze bubbles and crashes in a model in which some investors are partially sophisticated. While the expectations of such investors are endogenously determined in equilibrium, these are based on a coarse understanding of the market dynamics. We highlight how such investors may endogenously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014184822
This paper presents a model in which fund managers choose between active management and passive management when investors cannot directly observe managers' efforts and skills. In an equilibrium skilled managers actively manage their funds only when skills can add a large value in active...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135435
This paper studies the implications for climate policy of the interactions between environmental and knowledge externalities. Using a numerical analysis performed with the hybrid integrated assessment model WITCH, extended to include mutual spillovers between the energy and the non-energy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138660
This paper studies a class of robust mean-variance portfolio selection problems with state-dependent risk aversion. Model uncertainty, in the sense of considering alternative dominated models, is introduced to the problem to reflect the investor's ambiguity aversion. To characterize the robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896233
The paper proposes a model of delegated portfolio management in which career concerns lead to unprofitable trade by uninformed managers (i.e. churning). We find that churning does not necessarily reduce the return that a representative investor expects ex-ante from delegating trade to a manager....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127339
This paper studies the implications for climate policy of the interactions between environmental and knowledge externalities. Using a numerical analysis performed with the hybrid integrated assessment model WITCH, extended to include mutual spillovers between the energy and the non-energy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008735744