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strategies. Unfortunately, due to the curse of dimensionality, their accurate estimation and forecast in large portfolios is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242339
This paper addresses the open debate about the usefulness of high-frequency (HF) data in large-scale portfolio allocation. We consider the problem of constructing global minimum variance portfolios based on the constituents of the S&P 500 over a four-year period covering the 2008 financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009714536
Factor modeling is a popular strategy to induce sparsity in multivariate models as they scale to higher dimensions. We develop Bayesian inference for a recently proposed latent factor copula model, which utilizes a pair copula construction to couple the variables with the latent factor. We use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011654443
According to no-arbitrage, risk-adjusted returns should be unpredictable. Using several prominent factor models and a large cross-section of anomalies, we find that past pricing errors predict future risk-adjusted anomaly returns. We show that past pricing errors can be interpreted as deviations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348676
We propose a conditional model of asset returns in the presence of common factors and downside risk. Specifically, we generalize existing latent factor models in three ways: we show how to estimate the threshold which identifies the 'disappointment' event triggering the bad state of the world; we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323846
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010442408
An exploratory study is conducted to assess the persistence of cointegration among U.S. equities. In other words, if a … 2002-2012, comprising over 860,000 pairs in total. The evidence does not support the hypothesis that cointegration is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048017
model is estimated for different shock sizes. It is shown, in contrast to the DYCI model, the dynamic quantile estimation of … model makes full use of information embedded in the covariance matrix. Estimation results show that in two recent episodes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170580
We propose a dynamic factor state-space model for high-dimensional covariance matrices of asset returns. It uses observed risk factors and assumes that the latent covariance matrix of assets and factors is observed through their realized covariance matrix with a Wishart measurement density. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908082
We develop a new test for threshold-type regime changes in the risk exposures in portfolios with a large number of financial assets whose returns exhibit an approximate factor structure. Unlike existing procedures to detect discrete shifts in factor models, our test is robust to regime-specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853517