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We analyze optimal monetary policy and its implications for asset prices, when aggregate demand has inertia and responds to asset prices with a lag. If there is a negative output gap, the central bank optimally overshoots aggregate asset prices (asset prices are initially pushed above their...
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Over the past two decades, before the global financial crisis, there was a rapid rise in the size of gross external portfolio positions as well as a decrease in the net negative foreign currency exposure in external balance sheets. In this paper, we present a theoretical model in which these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014131136
We introduce a new measure called Inflation-at-Risk (I@R) associated with (left and right) inflation tail risk. We … estimate I@R using survey-based density forecasts. We show that it contains information not covered by usual inflation risk … indicators which focus on inflation uncertainty and do not distinguish between the risks of low or high future inflation outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053675
This study revisits and tests empirically the Portfolio Theory of Inflation (PTI), which analyzes how the effectiveness … (Bossone, The portfolio theory of inflation and policy (in)effectiveness, 2019). The PTI shows that when an economy is heavily … and policies aimed to stimulate output growth dissipate into domestic currency depreciation and higher inflation, with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012140238
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We present a robust version of the life-cycle optimal portfolio choice problem in the presence of labor income, as introduced in Biffis, Gozzi and Prosdocimi and Dybvig and Liu. In particular, in the influence of past wages on the future ones is modelled linearly in the evolution equation of...
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