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Time series momentum (TSM) refers to the predictability of the past 12-month return on the next one-month return and is the focus of several recent influential studies. This paper shows that asset-by-asset time series regressions reveal little evidence of TSM, both in- and out-of-sample. While...
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We provide a comprehensive study on the cross-sectional predictability of corporate bond returns using big data and machine learning. We examine whether a large set of equity and bond characteristics drive the expected returns on corporate bonds. Using either set of characteristics, we find that...
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This paper examines the economic implications of new factor models and shows that the Hou, Xue, and Zhang (HXZ, 2015a) four-factor model outperforms the Fama and French (FF5, 2015a) five-factor model for investing in anomalies in- and out-of-sample. The difference in certainty-equivalent returns...
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Frequent, yet uninformed, fund flows in Chilean pension plans generate substantial trading in currency markets due to the high allocation to international securities. These non-fundamental flows have a significant impact on the Chilean peso, which is estimated to have a relatively low price...
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