Despite intense criticism, agency credit ratings are still widely used in regulation and risk management. One possible alternative is to replace them with quantitative default risk measures. For US data, I find that systemically relevant losses from corporate defaults are mostly smaller if...

For the euro debt crisis, we assess the relevance of financial contagion from an investor perspective. We find that contagion, which we identify through the joint occurrence of extremely negative bond returns, has only small and transitory effects on broad government bond portfolios. For...

I approximate the interest that value investing attracts through the frequency with which terms such as “book to market ratio” appear in the corpus of books scanned by Google. Following the years in which investor interest in value is relatively high, the realized value premium is found to...