This paper examines whether output contractions associated with downturns and crises have an asymmetric effect on poverty. Several potential sources of asymmetry are identified first. A vector auto-regression model (involving the output gap, unemployment, real wages, and the poverty rate) is...

This paper focuses on approaches to linking macroeconomic models to household income data for poverty and distributional analysis. Given that linkage methods can influence the resulting poverty and income distribution effects, understanding the benefits and costs of various linkages is...