We theorize that accounting systems affect analysts' forecast accuracy through changes in earnings variability. We argue that the matching and historical cost principles reduce earnings variability, and hence, reduce analysts' earnings forecast errors. We also argue that restricting the choice...

An examination of analysts' accuracy in predicting annual earnings for firms reporting losses and firms reporting profits finds that analysts are ten times more accurate in predicting the earnings of profit firms. They have also improved their predictive ability for profit firms since the...

Pope and Walker examine differences in the timeliness and conservatism of U.S. and U.K. reported earnings. They conclude that the U.S. accounting regime appears significantly more conservative than the U.K. regime, when comparing earnings before extraordinary items. However, when comparing...

Chambers, Freeman and Koch test to see whether earnings response coefficients (ERCs), or stock returns per unit of unexpected earnings, are increasing in total risk. They generate this prediction from a model in which the sensitivity of dividend expectations to earnings news increases in total...

We argue that accounting conservatism makes earnings forecasting difficult by introducing transitory components in reported earnings. These transitory components are likely to be disproportionately represented in firms reporting losses. We show that analysts' mean forecast errors and absolute...

We study how nonprofit profitability affects external funding. Using a sample of over 273 thousand U.S. nonprofit organization (NPO) observations between 1999-2019, we find that profitability is associated with greater public support; however, when NPOs are excessively profitable, they receive...

By issuing earnings forecasts for both current and future years simultaneously, managers provide the multi-year data required for many valuation models and help investors sort out transitory and permanent shocks. We find that firms that are overpriced and have more transitory earnings tend to...