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~subject:"Prognose"
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Improving judgmental time seri...
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Prognose
Forecasting model
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21
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Goodwin, Paul
10
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Önkal, Dilek
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Gönül, M. Sinan
2
Meeran, Sheik
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European journal of operational research : EJOR
2
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2
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2
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ECONIS (ZBW)
12
USB Cologne (EcoSocSci)
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When simple alternatives to Bayes formula work well : reducing the cognitive load when updating probability forecasts
Goodwin, Paul
- In:
Journal of business research : JBR
68
(
2015
)
8
,
pp. 1686-1691
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011317089
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2
Judgemental probability forecasts for personal and impersonal events
Wright, George
- In:
International journal of forecasting
5
(
1989
)
1
,
pp. 117-125
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001088663
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3
The relative influence of advice from human experts and statistical methods on forecast adjustments
Önkal, Dilek
;
Goodwin, Paul
;
Wilkie-Thomson, Mary E.
- In:
Journal of behavioral decision making
22
(
2009
)
4
,
pp. 390-409
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003894837
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4
The use of analogies in forecasting the annual sales of new electronics products
Goodwin, Paul
;
Dyussekeneva, Karima
;
Meeran, Sheik
- In:
IMA journal of management mathematics
24
(
2013
)
4
,
pp. 407-422
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009789416
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5
Reproducibility in forecasting research
Boylan, John E.
;
Goodwin, Paul
;
Mohammadipour, Maryam
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
31
(
2015
)
1
,
pp. 79-90
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327464
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6
When providing optimistic and pessimistic scenarios can be detrimental to judgmental demand forecasts and production decisions
Goodwin, Paul
;
Gönül, M. Sinan
;
Önkal, Dilek
- In:
European journal of operational research : EJOR
273
(
2019
)
3
,
pp. 992-1004
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987671
Saved in:
7
When do changes in consumer preferences make forecasts from choice-based conjoint models unreliable?
Meeran, Sheik
;
Jahanbin, Semco
;
Goodwin, Paul
;
Frota …
- In:
European journal of operational research : EJOR
258
(
2017
)
2
,
pp. 512-524
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011644147
Saved in:
8
A note on upper bounds for forecast-value-added relative to naïve forecasts
Goodwin, Paul
;
Petropoulos, Fotios
;
Hyndman, Rob J.
- In:
Journal of the Operational Research Society : OR
68
(
2017
)
9
,
pp. 1082-1084
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011799306
Saved in:
9
Supporting judgment in predictive analytics : scenarios and judgmental forecasts
Önkal, Dilek
;
Gönül, M. Sinan
;
Goodwin, Paul
- In:
Judgment in Predictive Analytics
,
(pp. 245-264)
.
2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014301364
Saved in:
10
Is a more liberal approach to conservatism needed in forecasting?
Goodwin, Paul
- In:
Journal of business research : JBR
68
(
2015
)
8
,
pp. 1753-1754
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011317068
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