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benchmark model which applies the variables of Moody's RiskCalcTM for Germany. -- Credit Risk ; Credit Rating ; Probability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009304013
for Germany is derived through a stochastic population renewal process using forecasts of mortality, fertility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003814452
-as-you-go systems are needed. We propose a probabilistic approach to forecast the numbers of pensioners in Germany up to 2040 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599101
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We examine forecast accuracy and efficiency of the Social Security Administration's projections for cost rate, trust …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668902
This paper assesses to what extent forecasters make efficient use of competitors' forecasts. Using a panel of forecasters, I find that forecasters underuse information from their competitors in their forecasts for current and next year's annual GDP growth and in ation. The results also show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012111567
This paper assesses to what extent forecasters make effcient use of competitors' forecasts. Usinga panel of forecasters, I find that forecasters underuse information from their competitors in their forecasts for current and next year's annual GDP growth and inflation. The results also show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012113630
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000168630