In a multiperiod investment framework, firms with high expected growth earn higher expected returns than firms with low expected growth, holding investment and expected profitability constant. This paper forms cross-sectional growth forecasts, and constructs an expected growth factor that yields...

This study applies a model averaging approach to conditionally forecast housing investment in the largest euro area countries and the euro area. To account for substantial modelling uncertainty, it estimates many vector error correction models (VECMs) using a wide set of short and long-run...

We look for a forecasting model for private investments in Finland. As explanatory variables, we use different proxies of Tobin's Q and cash flow as well as these series decomposed to different frequency components. The forecasts are produced using OLS and National Accounts and Financial...

Shared concerns about their firm's financial condition by managers, stockholders, lenders and employees create continual inquiries and recurrent attempts to answer the incessant question about how financial distress can be predicted or what reveals the bankruptcy of firms. Despite numerous...

In this paper, we test the predictive power of a nonparametric multivariate discriminant model to predict corporate bankruptcy. In contrast with the previous literature, we employ not only accounting ratios, but also market and microstructure variables. The most important finding are that market...