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Macroeconomic expectations of various economic agents are characterized by substantial cross-sectional heterogeneity. In this paper, we focus on expectations heterogeneity among professional forecasters. We first present stylized facts and discuss theoretical explanations for heterogeneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014472058
Macroeconomic expectations of various economic agents are characterized by substantial crosssectional heterogeneity. This chapter focuses on heterogeneity in the expectations among professional forecasters, first presenting stylized facts and discussing theoretical explanations for heterogeneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015084332
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We examine rationality, forecasting accuracy, and economic value of the survey-based exchange rate forecasts for 10 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903718
We show analysts’ own earnings forecasts predict error in their own forecasts of earnings at other horizons, which we argue provides a measure of the extent to which analysts inefficiently use information. We construct our measure by exploiting two sources of variation in analysts’...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220544
We show analysts’ own earnings forecasts predict error in their own forecasts of earnings at other horizons, which we argue provides a measure of the extent to which analysts inefficiently use information. We construct our measure by exploiting two sources of variation in analysts’...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222335
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