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Macroeconomic forecasts and the nature of economic shocks in Germany

Döpke, Jörg - 2000

The paper investigates the sources of macroeconomic forecast errors in Germany. The predictions of the so-called "six leading" research institutes are analyzed. The forecast errors are discussed within an aggregate demand/supply scheme. Structural Vector Autoregressive Models are estimated to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476550

Global tail risk and oil return predictability

Qian, Lihua; Zeng, Qing; Lu, Xinjie; Ma, Feng - In: Finance research letters 47 (2022) 2, pp. 1-6

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013553904

Growth uncertainty, generalized disappointment aversion and production-based asset pricing

Liu, Hening; Miao, Jianjun - In: Journal of monetary economics 69 (2015), pp. 70-89

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326683

Residential investment and economic activity : evidence from the past five decades

Kohlscheen, Emanuel; Mehrotra, Aaron N.; Mihaljek, Dubravko - 2018

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011867333

An explanation of spread's ability to predict economic activity : a regime switching model

Evgenidis, Anastasios; Siriopoulos, Costas - In: Journal of economic studies 43 (2016) 3, pp. 488-503

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011690205

Emerging economies business cycles : the role of commodity terms of trade news

Ben Zeev, Nadav; Pappa, Euē; Vicondoa, Alejandro - In: Journal of international economics 108 (2017), pp. 368-376

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011754068

Forecasting in the presence of instabilities : how do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them

Rossi, Barbara - 2019 - This Draft: November 2019

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012209873

The macroeconomic impact of oil earnings uncertainty : new evidence from analyst forecasts

Ma, Xiaohan; Samaniego, Roberto M. - In: Energy economics 90 (2020), pp. 1-13

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012517106

Investor sentiment and global economic conditions

Herculano, Miguel C.; Lütkebohmert, Eva - In: Journal of empirical finance 73 (2023), pp. 134-152

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014477003

Macro risks and the term structure of interest rates

Bekaert, Geert; Engstrom, Eric; Ermolov, Andrey - In: Journal of financial economics 141 (2021) 2, pp. 479-504

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013259807

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