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In 2005, the German government announced a far-reaching fiscal adjustment program. This paper uses the IMF's Global Fiscal Model to study its impact and explores options for addressing long-term pressures from population aging. The growth effects of the planned VAT increase are likely modest,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777523
This paper presents a forecasting model of unemployment based on labor force ows data that, in real time, dramatically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014121100
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010424597
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011770600
to forecast the unemployment rate, labor force participation rate and employment-to-population ratio. The forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011576
Using data from a 1998 establishment-level survey in the telecommunications industry, the authors examine the predictors of aggregate quit rates. They draw on strategic human resource and industrial relations theory to identify the sets of employee voice mechanisms and human resource practices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014034012
In this paper we evaluate whether the accuracy of Finnish unemployment rate forecasts can be improved by utilising the … information in the flows into and out of unemployment. We compare and contrast different methodologies for constructing the flows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014574000
This paper investigates how expectations about future government spending affect the transmission of fiscal policy shocks. We study the effects of two different types of government spending shocks in the United States: (i) spending shocks that are accompanied by an expected reversal of public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316772
Über die Methoden, die in anderen Industriestaaten bei der Steuerschätzung angewandt werden, ist in Deutschland sehr wenig bekannt. Es gibt weder einschlägige Literatur, noch findet ein Informationsaustausch zwischen den Steuerschätzern der einzelnen Staaten statt. Um die bestehende...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011698399
This paper investigates how expectations about future government spending affect the transmission of fiscal policy shocks. We study the effects of two different types of government spending shocks in the United States: (i) spending shocks that are accompanied by an expected reversal of public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605407