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Entscheidungsmodelle auf der Grundlage von Szenarien

Götze, Uwe - In: Die Szenario-Technik - Werkzeug für den Umgang mit …, (pp. 105-126). 1995

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001291689

Emerging Studies and Applications of Grey Systems

Yang, Yingjie (ed.); Liu, Sifeng (ed.) - 2023

1. Development of Grey System Research -- 2. Basic models in grey systems theory -- 3. Grey systems and uncertainty … modelling, the theory of grey systems and its applications have seen significant progress in recent years. However, researchers …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013533954

Predicting in shock : on the impact of negative, extreme, rare, and short lived events on judgmental forecasts

Durbach, Ian; Montibeller, Gilberto - In: EURO Journal on decision processes 6 (2018) 1/2, pp. 213-233

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011889486

Judgment extremity and accuracy under epistemic vs. aleatory uncertainty

Tannenbaum, David; Fox, Craig R.; Ülkümen, Gülden - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 63 (2017) 2, pp. 497-518

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011647370

Estimating uncertainties using judgmental forecasts with expert heterogeneity

Bansal, Saurabh; Gutierrez, Genaro J. - In: Operations research 68 (2020) 2, pp. 363-380

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012213337

A Bayesian belief network-based probabilistic mechanism to determine patient no-show risk categories

Simsek, Serhat; Dag, Ali; Tiahrt, Thomas; Oztekin, Asil - In: Omega : the international journal of management science 100 (2021), pp. 1-16

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012494634

False and missed alarms in seasonal forecasts affect individual adaptation choices

Hembach-Stunden, Katharina; Vorlaufer, Tobias; Engel, … - In: Q open : a journal of agricultural, climate, … 4 (2024) 1, pp. 1-22

risk of extreme climate conditions. However, being confronted with inaccurate forecast systems may undermine individuals …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015053857

More Judgment Than Data : Data Literacy and Decision-Making

Jones, Michael - 2022

: Establish a theory -- Chapter 9: Conclusion. … how to best use the existing data. Including data in the decision-making process can bring considerable clarity in …. The book’s primary thesis is that people who possess data literacy will understand the environment and incentives behind …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013349739

Forecasting economic decisions under risk : the predictive importance of choice-process data

Mueller, Steffen Q.; Ring, Patrick; Schmidt, Maria - 2019 - Version: January 2019

We investigate various statistical methods for forecasting risky choices and identify important decision predictors …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964372

Error and generalization in discrete choice under risk

Wilcox, Nathaniel T. - 2015

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011406788