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Hungary launched its first Technology Foresight Programme (TEP) in 1997. This was a holistic foresight programme, based on panel activities and a large-scale Delphi survey, with a strong emphasis on socio-economic needs. The paper discusses why a foresight exercise is relevant to a transition...
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This article proposes a way of introducing some organization and tractability in climate science, generating more widely credible evaluations of climate science, and imposing some discipline on the processing and interpretation of climate information. I propose a two-part policy instrument...
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downgraded their forecasts for Russia's economy growth rates, too. At the same time, if oil prices n 2017 stay at $40 a barrel …, then output is expected to stabilize or even edge up. In other words, it is highly likely that Russia's economy will move … out of a recession in 2016, and in 2017 Russia's output will enter a zone of positive growth rates. However, this is a …
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This study, as a synthesis of past research, demonstrates that the use of the well-known methodological "Gini coefficient index" measured income inequalities, should support a new forecasting form of tourist impact, led - under conditions - to new flexible development policies, especially in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065799
In the era of Basel II a powerful tool for bankruptcy prognosis is vital for banks. The tool must be precise but also easily adaptable to the bank's objections regarding the relation of false acceptances (Type I error) and false rejections (Type II error). We explore the suitability of Smooth...
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